2012-09-26
2012-10-04
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a new plan of attack. it's not subtle and it's ugly. and mitt romney doesn't want george w. bush anywhere near him. but going to the cayman islands to talk investments wasn't what he had in mind. the story of the day coming up. >>> all that, plus samuel l. jackson is reaching out to voters with an ad you'll want to see. this is "politicsnation" on msnbc. >> mitt romney a week ago they were ready to count the guy out and now he's bounced back and he's on a bus tour in ohio. he's been working very hard kissing babies and freeloaders. babies and freeloaders. facebook yet? the "politicsnation" conversation is going all day long. and today our fans had a lot to say about the romney harvesting comment. kalar says, he's never been a job creator. he's a profit harvester. our facebook family was happy about the voting in eye yeah. anthony says, go iowa. let's get this election going. we have a lot more on that first swing state to vote a little later in the program. we want to hear what you think, too. head over to facebook and search poins and like us "politicsnati and like us to keep th

, and the george bush drunk driving story in 2000. if this is a political october surprise, how does that affect the vote on november 6. we will ask george w. bush's chief of staff, andy card about how the narrative would be different if president bush was in office today. we have been hearing a lot about that some other news outlets today. why there was a potential cover-up on a terror attack on u.s. soil, where is the media on this? governor mitt romney spoke to a foreign-policy topic forum at valley college in california. it shows president obama leading in pennsylvania by more than a point. but that did not stop the governor from blasting the president for calling deadly turmoil around the muslim world, a bump in the road. >> i don't consider 20 or 30,000 people dying just a bump in the road. or a muslim brotherhood president in egypt a bump in the road. i don't consider the killing of our diplomats in libya as a bump in the road, and i sure as heck don't consider iran becoming nuclear, a bump in the road. we need someone who recognizes what is ahead and what is willing to be done as a leade

. >> when bill clinton was president the average family income went up $7500. $7500. since george bush has been president, it's gone down $2,000. think about that. that's a $9500 swing. $9500. that's money out of your pocket. that's money going out of this country because we're borrowing it from china to send to saudi arabia to buy oil. that's what's added $4 trillion to our deficit. i mean, think about that. so we've created a mountain of debt for the next generation that they're going to have to pay off. >> sean: remember, under obama's watch household income has plummeted more than 8%, and he's added more debt than almost all of his predecessors combined. the president doesn't want to talk about his record because it's a record of failure. he's been disengaged from the moment he took office. not only is he not willing to meet with world leaders bike prime minister benjamin netanyahu, not willing to reach across the isle about serious matters. massive cuts and our defense are looming. the massive tax hike in history is imminent. mr. president, the solutions to those problems won't be rea

down to a mississippi reunion. >> george bush sounded more southern below the mason/dixon line. politicians on both sides do that. i don't hold him at fault for trying to sound like a pandering politician. >> roland, what do you make of this video? >> i think it is utterly laughable that sean hannity and the rest of the folks make this out to be something significant. something that was written on june 7th, 2007, on cnn.com, was a column i wrote with the headline called "obama's quiet riots are real." so they want to -- >> quiet riot is a phrase he was using in this very speech. >> no, but my point is i was referencing the speech that he also gave to the hampton ministers conference. here's the deal, you talk about the amount of money spent on the gulf coast. first of all, new orleans and gulf coast, that's alabama and mississippi, okay? is this going to have any impact of the selection? absolutely not. this is something more than sean hannity's infactuation with reverend jeremiah wright. >> roy watkins, is there significanceo this, do you believe? >> i think there's no materia

with george h. w. bush and his wife, barbara in part because they were all close contemporaries. philip and the 41st president had also both seen action in the pacific in world war ii, which give them a common bond. the queen is rather formal, bush told me, but i never found per reserved, standoffish. it is hard to explain really, but she is a very, very easy to be with. conversation comes easily. that ease was evident after the white house welcoming ceremony for her third state visit in 1991 when presidential aides for got to provide a set for the podium that have been designed for the considerably taller president's. while making her remarks, the cluster of microphones obscured the queen's face, offering tv viewers what appears to be a talking purple and white striped had. the queen laughed after words. another moment slightly gone wrong. her humor made it all seemed fine, george bush said. he also marveled at her stamina at age 65. at the state dinner he observed that her fast pace had left even the secret service panting. one of the queen's secret service once said she has too great

-liner ever in a presidential debate? was it president ronald reagan? how about george bush, senior? george bush jr. that's george w. bush, of course, or president obama? we will take a look at history's greatest debate moments. [ male ] sponges take your mark. ♪ [ female announcer ] one drop of ultra dawn has twice the everyday grease cleaning ingredients of one drop of the leading non-concentrated brand... ♪ [ crowd cheering ] ...to clean 2x more greasy dishes. dawn does more. so it's not a chore. i knew it'd be tough on our retirement savings, especially in this economy. but with three kids, being home more really helped. man: so we went to fidelity. we talked about where we were and what we could do. we changed our plan and did something about our economy. now we know where to go for help if things change again. call or come in today to take control of your personal economy. get free one-on-one help from america's retirement leader. [ male announcer ] isn't always the one you plan to take. whoa, check it out. hey baby goat... no that's not yours... [ hikers whispering ] ...that's no

is from mississippi. >> this is a politician pandering to a crowd. george bush would sound more southern below the mason/dixon line. and the right still lamb upons hillary clinton for trying to put on an accent. politicians on both sides do that. >> roland martin what do you make of this obama video? >> i think it's utterly laughable that sean hahnity, daily caller and the rest of these folks are making this out to be significant. something written on june 7, 2007, was a headline i wrote on cnn.com. obama's quiet riots are real. >> quiet riot is a phrase he used in this very speech. >> no, no. i was referencing the speech he gave to the hampton minister's conference. here is the deal. talk about the amount of money spent on the gulf coast. alabama, mississippi, okay? is this going to have any impact on this election? absolutely not. this is nothing more than sean hahnity's infan situation with reverend jeremiah wright, pure and simple. >> is there a significance to this you believe? >> i think that there is no material significance here, but the republicans are very good at taking nothin

. george bush. the idea is to take a deep dive into one's own policies and also look at your opponent's policies and make sure that you're deeply well read into all the the specifics. and so, nobody can be well versed in everything that you've done. i certainly don't remember what i did last year and i bet you don't either. every moment of it, so that's part of the goal. another part of it is to come up with those quote zingers or moments, as much they say they're thot doing it, you know they did it. that's part of it. to come armed with some ready lines to throw out when you need them. >> i'm not even sure i know what i did last week, so i get it. thanks so much. jessica yellin. we want to go back now to anderson cooper a anderson cooper in the cnn election center. >> candy, i can't remember what i did yesterday. let's talk about who has the edge going into tonight. >> anderson, a year ago, you would have said romney had the edge. obama has to defend his lousy jobs record. he's running better campaign, so he comes in with an advantage. he's still ahead. structure of the race favors h

than under george bush, over 4 1/2 trillion dollars under obama, $700 billion under george bush, the expanding war, you know, people thought obama was going to be the peace president but in fact on day three in office he intensified the bombing in pakistan. and then spread the drone wars into yemen and somalia, surged the troops into afghanistan and withdrew from iraq only because it was george bush's date of withdrawal. it of the date george bush had negotiated to end the immunity for u.s. soldiers and barack obama had done his darn december to try to -- darndest to extend that date so the troops may be there now if he had had his way so yes, we haven't gotten peace. voting for either of the two major parties is basically a very good way to ensure that we will continue to send jobs overseas, undermine our wages at home, watch the cross of health care and housing and education continue to skyrocket out of reach and watch the climate essentially go up in flames, because under this president, as much as under george bush, we have seen the polices of drill baby drill and in fact th

director to president george w. bush. also a romney supporter. matt, good afternoon to you, sir. >> great to be with you. >> is this the last best chance for governor romney? true or false? what do you think? >> i guess kind of true. it's a great opportunity. i think it's a big mistake for candidates, especially when they're running for president, to put all the marbles in a debate. because really what you want to do in a debate, is first of all, you don't want to be swinging so much for the fences that you make a lot of errors. i worked for president george w. bush, as you said, and in his first debate in 2004, a lot of people felt like he gave a subpar performance. and there's no question that we breathe some life into our opponents, and if president obama, who some have characterized as almost a messianic kind of figure, comes across as someone who does not have a real plan for second term, he could be looking at poll numbers that get even more tight. >> but if governor romney doesn't unveil some sort of grand plan for his first term, that won't move the needle at all either, will it?

in 2004, george w. bush was 6, 7 points ahead of john kerry. he didn't prepare well. that race went from a six-point race to a one-point race in 48 hours. i think barack obama has to be careful. that he doesn't come across irritable or impatient. perform well from a mannerism standpoint. if he doesn't, this race goes a one-point race. >> donna brazile, matt dowd brings up the mannerisms. you were in the al gore camp, everyone thought that he cleaned george bush's clock, but on mannerisms he ended up losing. >> we remember the split screen. al gore was sitting there, rolling his eyes, looking at george bush and basically, he started -- >> did president obama have that vulnerability. >> look, i governor romney speaks in perfect sound bites. i attended many of those republican debates. one thing that's very good at is turning a negative question, a question directed to him into a positive question. he's a very skillful debater. he's been in dress rehearsal for five years. i suspect that governor romney is going to come well prepared to put the president obama on edge. what will the presiden

. >> if a president of either party, i don't care whether it was jimmy carter or bill clinton or george bush or ronald reagan or george h.w. bush had had a terrorist incident and gotten on an airplane after saying something and flown off to a fund raisener las vegas, they would have been crucified. it would have been, it should have been barack -- equivalent for barack obama of george bush's flying over katrina moment. >> but nothing was said at all. and nothing will be said. >> with us now is mr. caddell. so you think this is an organized press suppression of this story? >> well, organized -- whether it's organized is a straight conspiracy, everyone is in on it and doing it and it's a purposeful conscious effort to suppress news that might help obama. we have gone down a slippery slope here. look, bill, we have had liberal bias or bias in the press for a long time. for many years. but it's gotten worse starting in 2008. now we have a press that actively engages in the re-election. putting out a narrative that romney is a loser, you know running polls, they are using like telling n.i.v. adding on romn

the federal government with their boots on our neck. when george bush was president, we lost 700,000 jobs per month. all these programs were in place at the time. the only addition is the health care act, which has not been fully implemented. i think that you have a selective memory of where we are in this country and how we got to where we currently are. >> i must say, mr. sadler may well be the only person, the only small business owner, former small-business owner in the state who does not think the regulatory and tax burden under this administration has make -- made life harder to create jobs. i will tell you, crisscrossing the state, it does not matter, east texas, west texas, austin, dallas, houston, small-business owners say their life has become much harder with the regulatory uncertainty and burdens. two-thirds of all new jobs come from small-business. >> i am not hearing that from small business. you keep saying that, but i do not hear it. >> in response to the romney video, a obama video service in which he discusses market forces and competition, but also the redistribution of wea

that are saying farewell. see what he says about george w. bush and john mccain. this is "the daily rundown." i am chuck todd. let's get to the first reads of the morning. in the last two weeks, we polled in nine battleground states deciding the election. ohio, florida, virginia, colorado, iowa, wisconsin, north carolina, nevada, new hampshire. bad news for mitt romney, he doesn't lead in a single one. at best within the poll's margin of error. at worst, trails by eight points. this morning, how the nine states stack up. we said it again and again. the president's job approval rating may be the best indicator of where the bout may be. where it is more than 50, the president favored to win. iowa, florida, new hampshire, ohio, virginia, his approval rating below that, 47 or 48 in four. colorado, nevada, north carolina, wisconsin. here is a second way to breakdown the numbers. romney struggled with favorability number all year. that number underwater, more voters have unfavorable than favorable view in six states. romney is in positive territory in just three. florida, north carolina, virginia. final

's a former white house homeland security advisor. she served in the george w. bush administration, currently she sits on the cia external advisory panel and recently visited libya with her employer, mcandrews and forbes. also joining us, former fbi assistant director, tom fuentes, who has extensive experience investigating attacks on americans overseas, and former cia officer, bob baer. so fran, so the fbi sought military protection to go into benghazi. why didn't they get it? >> well, the answer to that question, i think, is not really clear. so it's not unusual, when you want to set up a security perimeter, you may look to the host country. if the host country is unable or unwilling to provide it, we don't know what the answer to that is, y may ask if you think you need it for u.s. military support, but that's got to go through a process. it needs state department and nsc support, the u.s. military would have to make an assessment about how big a security package that would entail and lastly, and perhaps most importantly, you need host government. the libyan government in this case, suppor

with vice president george w. bush. >> governor, if kitty dukakis were raped and murdered, would you favor an irrevocable death penalty for the killer? >> no, i don't. i think you know i have opposed the death penalty during all of my life. >> the public sees his answer as cold and dispassionate and that very night, his poll numbers dropped. during the 1988 vice presidential debate, republican senator dan quayle's comparison to john f. kennedy elicits this blistering response from his opponent. >> senator, you are no jack kennedy. >> body language plays a part in the presidential debate. in 1992, george h.w. bush deliberately looks at his watch and he pays for it when the audience and voters see it as disrespectful. body language makes a difference in the debate between al gore and george w. bush as well. gore sighs over and over again and bush, the underdog, surprises by winning the debate and of course, the election. both president obama and governor romney are seasoned debaters, and experts say neither are prone to making major gaffes. but if there is one thing that history has taught u

that was been wrongly at the seat of george bush in the republican party when it goes back to democratic house important -- but nevertheless i wrote in that book that romney would make a great presidential nominee. i didn't know who the nominee would be. it's not a book about romney. i was proven remarkably impressionable by the 2007 book. the dean of the columbia school of journalism. the new yorkers national political reporter and always the go to guy for national political stories. the profile the in 2005 for the new yorker. it was a very nice piece. he told his liberal democratic leaders, the most influential conservative you ever heard of. okay. [laughter] that's okay, i guess. i don't really speak to the manhattan crowd, the your crowd. how many of you describe to the new yorker? i rest my case. he had read that and remembered that i've written this book about romney. what do you think now? have read the book. no, i haven't. go back and read in and coming back. he did. he called me back in about a week. what do you think of the book? we talked about it. in fact, i made predictions about

are the republican nominee president george bush, the independent russ perot, and governor bill clinton, the democratic nominee. my name is carole simpson. and i will be the moderator for tonight's 90-minute debate. >> 90-minute debate, she says. that is carole simpson then. and here is carole simpson today. once again, the lady in red. carole simpson, amazing seeing you here, 20 years later, welcome. you know, all kinds of history made that night. you and i were talking on the commercial break, people recognizing you all around the world in the 20 years since. and it was unique about that night, the three debaters, not the usual two, you had, my goodness, questions from the audience, you had yourself, you're the first woman to host a presidential debate. just -- if i may, first question, perspectivewise, you presided over history, did you not? >> i did. and that was the most exciting -- it was the pinnacle of my career to be able to moderate a presidential debate that is like every reporter's dream in washington is to have that opportunity. so i was thrilled. and i don't like you talki

of george w. bush. >> one of the things both campaigns talk about is this is a possible advantage for governor romney because there is an elevated factor for him. he is on the same stage as the president. these debates to make an impression. sometimes they have a lasting impression. often, they do not. it is an opportunity, one of the few moments in the campaign, the conventions are another, but this is the last opportunity that both candidates have to speak to such a large audience at once. >> laura meckler, thank you for being with us. we have warren decker. he is from a university in fairfax, virginia. joining us from boston, a professor alan schroeder. he has 50 years of high risk tv. what makes a good debate and a good debater? >> i think the difference between a really good debate from my standpoint, intercollegiate debate, and debates we see at the presidential level is that a really good debate would be characterized by some depth of clash and arguments back and forth between the two. a lot of that is missing from presidential debate. the testing of ideas comes from that c

you name it policies of george w. bush and dick cheney across the board? i mean is that it? is it they're totally out of it, stupid, don't know the issues? watch too much fox news? i mean i really cannot figure it out because by any measure, we talked about this before, by any measure, yeah, times are tough. yes, too many americans are out of work. yes, too many have had to take second jobs or new careers or they're not making as much or don't have as much authority and responsibility, not as good a job as they had the first time around. yeah, we know all of that. but overall americans are a hell of a lot better off than they were four years ago. white males are better off than they were four years ago. romney's policies, if anything, are going -- would set them back were he president because under him, there would be no middle class. there would be the very poor and the very, very, very, very, very rich like him. so this whole -- it makes me angry and it makes me frustrated and it makes me embarrassed to be part o

actually make it faster. this is where the obama campaign sees their opportunity. george w. bush, obviously, his prime economic policy was a set of very large tax cuts. they did not have a very positive effect on the economy, even before the recession. it was a very, very weak expansion. and so governor romney has come in and he's proposed very, very large tax cuts again. and he hasn't wanted, in order to get away from the bush part, he hasn't wanted to explain them too much. in fact, paul ryan, his running mate says, the math is just too hard. but it really isn't. and i would imagine the obama administration, or obama's going to go through tonight, you really only need to know two numbers about romney's tax plan, one is $480 billion. that's the cost of it in 2015, just to pick one year. and the other is $251 billion. that's the amount that will go to very wealthy families. now, mitt romney's promise, his tax plan won't cost a dime on the deficit. so he somehow needs to get $480 billion out of the tax code by closing breaks and loopholes, seems like the mortgage interest deduction, and also

held an 8 point lead over george bush before the first debate. right after his lead vanished, the two were tied at 43. this year, each side is making efforts to lower expectations. this memo obtained, is written by romney advisor, beth meyers, she talks glowingly about the president's debate record, siting where americans declared him the winner over john mccain each time. you make your opponent out to be unbeatable, regardless of what is said, you can declare a victory of sorts. >> how are the candidates getting ready for the weekend? >> reporter: there is going to be a lot of studying going this weekend, mitt romney is going back to boston, actually you might remember he has been getting ready with rob portman, playing the role of president obama and portman took on the task of playing obama in 2008, helped john mccain during that time to prepare for the debates. mitt romney is using john kerry as a stand in, rather obama is using john kerry as a stand in and kerry has practice from his run in 2004. on sunday, obama is going to nevada where he is going to be practicing for the fina

to be totally fair. people said some really nasty things about george bush when he was in office. there are pretty awful character turs of him. there's one significant thing, it did not have the racialress nans of him and that's a huge thing. here's one thing that i think they have in common. those things didn't really work. those slurs against george bush did not really work with the mass amount of people and i do not think that these things are working in part because we have grown as a country. we elected barack obama. that doesn't mean that we've seen the end of racism but it does mean that people my age, people a little younger than me don't have that same resonance because they've seem people like michelle obama and barack obama all the time. this is more desperate than effective. >> joe, mitt romney himself have said some things that kind of go along with some of the more brazen stuff if you look at it a certain way. he talks about how the president doesn't have american values. he says it repeatedly on the campaign trail. listen to this. >> we've got to stop apologizing f

: if george bush did that you would go nuts? >>guest: if george bush was standing up to protect american jobs it would be surprising to see. >>neil: part of the answer is to give them a warning they could lose theirs? we will try to revent them but here is a warning. >>guest: the ownous on the president is to make sure the jobs take in place and to work with the congress to make sure the jobs are not lost. that is not what is happening. >>neil: you are good. you are good. thank you, chris. ahead of the debate there is no debate. the polls are tightening. why isn't the media biting? [ music playing, children laughing ] [ slap! slap! slap! ] [ music, laughter stop ] [ male announcer ] when your favorite foods fight you, fight back fast with tums smoothies. so fast and smooth, you'll forget you had heartburn. ♪ tum tum tum tum tums [ male announcer ] tums smoothies. email marketing from constant contact reaches people in a place they're checking every day -- their inbox. and it gives you the tools to create custom emails that drive business. it's just one of the ways constant contact can help

under water. the lowest for any presidential nominee at this point in time other than george h.w. bush in 1992. romney is out with his second straight to camera ad in the direct effort to undo damage of the remarks. >> more americans live in poverty than when president obama took office. we should measure our compassion by how many fellow americans are able to get good paying jobs and not how many are on welfare. >> look at these numbers. by a whopping 51 to 28 voters say what they have heard about romney has made them feel more unfavorably there is still a few yellow flags for the president. more people disapprove of how he has handled the situation in libya and egypt than approve. if you want to understand why the president is leading look at this number, economic optimism. 57% now believe the economy is recovering. that number is up six points in just the past few weekz. ultimately this race will be won in nine battleground states. florida, virginia, and ohio romney is tight in the races with the states of fluidity, florida and virginia. in florida obama and romney are neck and neck

, i think it was, george bush had a little bit of a bad debate, the first one with kerry. it opened things up a little bit. by the end, we know who won. >> rick: it seems to a lot of conservatives that the media wants to=jt] call this thing for the president, already. and this year, more so than in any other presidential election year that the media bias against the republican candidate is worst than it has ever been before. i know you are not a conservative. from where you sit as you look at the coverage, you look at the way the media has perpetuated these story lines, how do you see it? >> you know, i don't know. romney has made a few mistakes, all right. i think if you are trying to get people to watch television or read our column, you focus on mistakes. it is a story. but i honestly think that particularly in presidential politics, people get a real view of the candidates. it is not governed by paid media and advertisements. it is really not governed by coverage. i think and i don't mean to insult anybody, at the end of the day what a lot of the yakers have to say, matters much

if president obama had done something like that. >> george w. bush. >> from the right or george w. bush, or if mitt romney made a speech and held up that kind of a bomb and drew the line. it boggles the mind. these are serious issues. they are complex. the country and the world deserves to know exactly where we are in the process and where we're going to get to. >> i know that particularly netanyahu always savvy about the american media. this was clearly designed so that more of us would cover this. it was an and t-- antic. >> i think probably benjamin netanyahu's standing with important leaders is pretty well fixed, i don't think it moves it one way or another. he is a hard liner. he doesn't like this administration plainly. they have some real differences. he is quite close to mitt romney. he knew him before -- >> how about the fact, i was going to say, how about the fact today he will speak by phone to both. a world leader doing that -- >> that's a danger for him, i have known him a long time. he is always moving forward. the danger is that he can involve himself too demonstrably in

of a broader pattern where the obama white house wants to continue george w. bush's anti-terror policies, even expand them in terms of drone strikes and so on without completely acknowledging what they're doing. but in this case, it's made them look ridiculous. it seems unnecessary. >> i've lived in the middle east and in libya. and nothing that you see is as it seems. you don't have any idea who these people r. they showed up with grenade launch easy and sophisticated weapons. but in libya today, everybody's got some. >> that's fine. you don't even have to say, this is definitely terrorism. you just don't spend a week saying, well, it's all about this video that was made in southern california and the muslim world is really angry. if you want to hedge your bets, okay. but they didn't. they went all in -- >> i'm going to apologize for them for wanting to get all the facts before they opened up their mouths and started blabbering. >> they did open up their mouths and start blabbering. >> i'm going to cut them a little slack for wanting to get all the facts before they go out and say it was a te

. president obama had two appointees. george w. bush had two appointees. bill clinton had two. but there could be a bunch in a hurry. justice ginsburg is the most likely to leave. and if president obama wins, that wouldn't change the balance of five republicans and four democrats. but if the five-to-four balance shifts, you could see dramatic dramatic changes in the court. it all depends on who >> do you simply assume president obama would name someone like sonja sot ma yor or clarence thomas for that matter? can you just assume those would be the possibilit probabilities if you will? >> that is precisely what i would assume. you know, there's a mythology about the court that presidents often areurprised by how their justices turn out. but you know, that is very much the exception rather than the rule. if you look at the justices currently on the court right now, every single one of them has turned out more or less as re there are individual cases, there are surprises. i certainly was surpred by roberts' vote in the affordable care act case. hatlarge presidents w you e is what you get. iden yo

, george bush and jon stewart having a field day with those sighs. >> i've had a record of that in texas. >> as if the sighing weren't bad enough, gore's behavior got worse. [ laughter ] >> in that same year we remember that moment when al gore got up, walked over towards then governor bush, and this was his reaction. >> trying to get things done, and i believe i can. [ laughter ] >> famous moment. years prior there was president h.w. bush checking his watch at the debates. these have become famous moments. are these debate prep teams telling their candidates, this is what you don't do? >> at this point in time they're emphasizing style as opposed to substance right now because debates that have changed people's minds have all been about physical characteristics and mannerisms really in the modern age and not about the substance of the policy answers, so they're paying a lot of attention to the style and not the substance. >> you can almost watch the debate with the volume down and determine who wins the thing. you point out something else and you were at this next debate. this was an im

's important to remember george w. bush and karl rove have a brilliant strategy of outreach to the hispanic voters and a less successful. george bush won at least 40% of the vote. it's more like 40. stila does a remarkable accomplishment, and now he's pulling at best in the mid-20s with the hispanic vote and his own campaign said the need to reach 38% nationally to be competitive in the state where the latino vote will be critical, so the republican party lurched to the right in recent years instead of george w. bush, karl rove, john mccain. let's reach out to the hispanics and make reform something. it's become a party that mitt romney says there is a model he's promised a veto. the gerry before the radical policy prescription called deportation, the idea of making life so miserable here that immigrants are literally purged from the country so it's hurt badly but hispanics. the strategy, that strategy means as you point out in your excellent paper, really the southwest is out of reach in large part because of this. they've pulled off the mexico. they have a shot in colorado and nevada but

. it was clear by the microphones while george w. bush was talking. it played into a larger narrative into the campaigns. it re-inforced what the audience thought about the candidates. >> when gore sighed endlessly and moaned during the debate and we saw that on television, it just emphasized the idea that he was arrogant and condescending, something people were already concerned about. when nixon was sweating, there was some sense that he was already shifty and there was an anxiety in his soul as well as his body. >> that's what the question in this campaign is about. >> reporter: in a later debate that year gore appeared to invade the personal space of bush. >> i believe i can. >> reporter: a move which made him look awkward compared to his relaxed opponent. in 1992 george h.w. bush was caught twice by cameras glancing at his watch during a town hall debate with voters which reinforced the suggestion he was disengaged and uninterested. >> when something is as close as it is now a small shift may create a forward movement in one direction or another. that's why these debates become g

george w. bush that cost him a lot. - >> rolling his eyes and -- >> the lock box that nobody understood what he was talking about. and the way -- even the way his makeup looked. one of the problems of these debates anymore, it's not just substance, people are looking at eye rolls and body language, george herbert walker bush famously looked at his wristwatch and it cost him. there's every little nuance, there's the transcript and the television tape and i think the tape trumps transcript in the end. >> ultimately does he really have to participate? could. he say, i'm so busy running this country, look what's happening, the amount of time that i have to put into debate prep and the like, do you really think he would come off as a spoiled sport? >> impossible for him to do that. the last time a president tried, what you're essentially calling the rose garden strategy where a president says i'm too busy to get into the american little game doesn't work. he's got to weather through this and, look, he's a great debater and mitt romney, who did a fairly good job during the g ork p runoff. so

keep the bush tax cuts. >> that's not his tax cut, that's george bush's tax cut. >> he preserved it once and he can preserve it again. ryan-romney ticket, they're doing damage to their own brand here. paul ryan comes out and says i'm going to tell the truth, i'm the guy that's going to talk numbers, i'm the guy who knows what's going on here, and then to say i can't really explain this to you. >> paul ryan -- they can pay for these budget take overs. they are assuming dynamic budgets. >> i love that, it's called supply side. here's what i love to do. if you believe in dynamic budgets, answer me this. hold on guys, let me get this out. dynamic scoring in a budget. if you agree with this, i'll fall over in this chair, every dollar you pay in head start, 20 years from now saves you in prison costs. >> this is a simple political question, obama uses the bush middle class cuts, but that's just an extension of what george w. bush put in place. what romney is saying, he's going to up the ante from here. why doesn't mitt romney make that case? >> you saw romney go almost halfway, he talk

were they in 2000 when george bush told a first election? where were they in ohio when he stole second election? where were they in the war in iraq? as far as parties go, the democrats control both congress, the senate, and the president to help people passed social security and medicare and food stamps. any port middle-class or working-class person that boats for a republican -- that votes for republicans -- this world would be back with it was in the 1930's. people to have the minimum wage. \ guest: that was very interesting laying out what is happening in this country. you raise the issue of the minimum wage. the democrats have not been pushing for that to be increased either. this is a very serious issue, the issue of a minimum wage of eight livable wage. -- oh a little -- of a liv able. i agree it is not a liberal media in this country. let's go back to the bombing of iraq in 2003. there was a report of the four nightly newscasts. in a two-week period, colin powell pushing for war in the u. n, it was the final nail in the coffin. he had been hesitant about the war. he was very cre

, george bush jr. was quite funny too. >> he was great. he went on oprah. >> he was very funny and very good thinking on his feet. >> so they're doing more like what do you and i'm thinking how are they going to stand up to vladimir putin, not how they going to stand up to whoopi goldberg. >> i know. what these presidents and presidential candidates go through is impossible to conceive. i mean you get the presidential daily briefing when you get in office and like being questioned, you said in toledo 16 days ago,ou know. >> and then you have to go on leno and be funny. >> you kind of do now, yeah. i mean it's the way it is. you know, the thing about comedy is that when you give a punch line, the audience has to believe the premise of your joke in order to laugh at them. you can't educate an audience and make them laugh at the same time. so when a guy goes on tv and crack as joke and the audience laughs, that means they believe in his premise. in this cyber age it's a way of getting news. what happens. >> so this is fascinating. it's not just thaz the politician has to be funny but he ha

could fail, as was perceived back then, george bush, failed people who were most in need, goes back to the 47% comment, the undecided voters, middle class, those people who have admitted today they've needed government assistance, if a republican could fail those people, then possibly we might not want to take a chance again on a republican, when the country is in such dire straits and at a crucial point right now. >> it brings back the george w. bush name again. >> oh, yeah. >> which they've been trying to campaign away from. >> absolutely. >> you've already had two. you've got a big voter education turnout drive. this one in virginia coming up. >> next tuesday, from 10:00 to 3:00, we'll be in virginia at market square from 10:00 to 3:00. voter education, voter registration. last week we were in the district. people getting registered, getting information that they need. like where's my polling place? what issues are really on the ballot? we're teaming up with the board of elections to help people. it's all about educating and informing the community. >> they said october was when

to john kerry losing narrowly to george w. bush in that state, the president has a couple huge advantages we're seeing in the ten-point game, one is the auto bailout. there is no state besides michigan be impacted more positively by the auto bailout than ohio. 82 out of 88 counties have an auto parts supplier in them that's felt a direct effect of the bailout. part of why the economy is doing better there. it's enough to move the needle. also the case that anti-union backlash in the industrial midwest and wisconsin has motivated organized labor in ohio in a way, the case always for democrats ohio is the place where organized labor has the most impact. this year motivating them more so. all that adds up to it's been an uphill climb for mitt romney, ten points is probably not what that margin will be on election day, but it's -- it is a state that's very hard to figure out a map for mitt romney to win. possible but not -- very hard. almost kind of fantastical, ha his naer to. >> so many other things about mitt romney -- >> it's just very, very hard. >> kurt andersen a son of the midwest is.

- sector jobs created with this president is more than were created under george bush. you have a president who basically inherited one of the worst economies that this country has ever seen. of course, what will you do with a falling object? that object will fall and you have to pick up and the rise back up will be a little bit slower. what you have seen is that coming in the 30 months, 4.6 million new jobs, he has already created more jobs centers w. bush. this is a president who understands how to get the economy going and this election should bebethese two candidates, who actually has a plan about the future? given his record, i have more confidence that president obama can get that done than governor romney appeared >> -- then governor romney. >> right now, you're trying to get a sales tax increase to pay for pre-k. can you defend, sitting next to someone who does not like texas famously, the decision to brought to market with a tax increase even for something you so strongly believe in? many mayors are with yo but there are a lot of elected officials and san antonio who are not with y

now to "clear the air." and up until now former president george w. bush has managed to stay out of the spotlight much to the relief of mitt romney. even when his wife, laura, agreed to host a lavish fund-raiser for mr. romney at their home in dallas, mr. bush made sure he was nowhere to be seen. but just to be clear, bush 43 has expressed some support for mr. romney, sort of. >> interested in politics, i'm a supporter of mitt romney, hope he does well, but, you know, he can do well without me. >> president bush clearly understands that most republicans don't want to recall his period in the white house. the massive tax cuts that threw away a budget surplus, two wars that were neither budgeted for nor easily executed, and a mortgage mess that was the direct result of minimal egg lation and maximum exploitation. that's why we were a little surprised to learn that george b. bush has accepted an invitation to be the keynote speaker at a forthcoming investors conference will will take place on the cayman islands. yes, even as mr. bush avoids romney the man, he's getting closer to som

to spend that money early? >> they were very smart. they did exactly to mitt romney what george bush did to john kerry a few years ago. but romney's people should have been smart enough to know this was happening. there was no presumption of that. they didn't get out aahead of the story. they didn't define their candidate well. there's two parts to this election, chris. one, is romney said a lot of people are unhappy with obama and his leadership and the economy. we accept that. he never made the connection that i'm the answer and solution. that's where the disconnect happened. >> mitt romney has been doing a lot to -- we saw it starting at the conventions. make himself more acceptable and help people understand him better. he's doing these direct into the camera ads. let me play one of those for you. >> more americans are living in poverty than when president obama took office. my plan will create 12 million new jobs over the next four years. helping lift families out of poverty and strengthening the middle class. >> the president is doing the same thing, doing some of these direct to c

with that ridiculous thing about savings from the wars, and in the same breath he criticizes george w. bush for running wars on a credit card. he will say those on this one sentence after another without any sense he is contradicting himself. there is pulling there that says that is an effective line and moves voters. it does not matter what the actual facts are. that is when -- >> in that statement, he also said, fact checkers come to this with their own sense of thoughts and ideas and backgrounds. he is trying to redefine what a fact is. he is saying, there are no objective facts. it is to somebody else's opinion about what we are saying. it is kind of like redefining apology. they are redefining what effect is. >> i do not want to be unfair to romney. my own view is that the attitude on the part of the obama campaign and the romney campaign was pretty much the equivalent. the surprising thing was that somebody from either campaign said it out loud. shocked news editors who had not been paying all that much attention previously. are the differences? to any of you see differences in the attitudes of t

ready, shovels hitting the ground, and a net loss of jobs in the time he's been president. george bush is unpatriotic and irresponsible, $14 trillion in debt, eight years. he's got $6 trillion and said he cut the deficit in half in his first term. he's not been asked the simple basic questions by anybody. how did we get to -- >> except by univision. >> sean: one example. >> they haven't even hit him on the outright lie about libya. another anticipated obama argument, this crisis was caused by two wars and push tax cuts. that's so easily refuted. 2007, $161 billion deficit with two wars raging and bush tax cuts implemented in 2003. what romney really needs to do, though, is stress the urgency. none of this john mccain, obama will make a fine president. no. if obama is re-elected, this country is over as we know it. >> yeah. >> he needs to stay that in no uncertain terms. i say this, not because i'm a partisan, i'm scared to death of our lifetime earnings being in jeopardied, i'm scared to death of our liberty, of our prosperity. the american dream is gone. he doesn't believe in opportun

. it was a no-brainer. the same was with george bush. when he ran, he did great work for us. we had a great relationship, the things he did for california. how quickly he was out there with our fires, how quickly he responded, all the needs that we had. and of course i endorsed him right away, even though we didn't agree on everything, but he was my man. so some other times you just figure, like, i got to wait a little bit, i want to hear the debates, i'm going to look forward to the debates, then i make up my mind. that's where i am right now with this whole. >>

was homeland security advisor during the george w. bush administration, as we often point out, she currently serves on the cia's external advisory committee and recently traveled to libya with her employer, mcandrews and forbes. she had actually met with ambassador stevens. what do you make of the pictures you see of what arwa's talking about? >> as i listen to arwa, it just reinforces what we said last week and we've said from the beginning. investigators have to go there, even if you didn't have all the physical evidence there that arwa just described to our viewers, you would want to know from the witness interviews, anderson, you would want to know measurements, you would want to be able to take people through it to really understand what the dynamic was. but then you see things like handprints and blood samples. one of the things, the first thing you would do, i'll give you an example, that is you would take the blood sample off the toilet and the bidet and see whether or not it matched first to the ambassador's. did he fall. there's all sorts of things you would want to know. you know,

bush, and to spend all of this time with george bush at camp david and to do horseshoe throwing and skeet and trap shooting and to sit in the oval office and to listen to his meetings -- >> amazing moments for a guy from -- unknown kid from austria. >> it's unbelievable, that ride. and the book also deals with the determination and the fanaticism and the competitiveness and always keeping the eye on the ball. and you know, the 15 arnold rules and all of those things that helped me get through and to get the way i am today. so that's what the book is about. >> whatever you've done in your life, when you've wanted something badly enough, you've tended to get there. you clearly would have liked to repair your marriage to as you said, the one and only love of your life, really. if maria's watching this and she might well be watching this, what would you say to her? >> i would just say sorry for what i've done. you know, i want to win her back and you know, i hope even though she talks about forgiveness, i hope that you really can forgive. >> you think do you deserve to be forgiven,

. it was one of the top ten in the country, so they excluded george w. bush. to my regret they excluded george herbert walker bush who i personally thing they deserved more credit than they got. the popular vote excluded woodrow wilson. woodrow wilson charted american history for the next years. >> what do you make of the breakdown if you look at the list that's used democratic. out of ten, only three are republicans. >> yeah. i mean the people, four were republicans, but wi biand large you have to look at who the republicans are. you've about got warren harding who was always drunk and making love in a closet. corrupt. you've got herbert hoover, decent made who made a screw -u on the depression. and calvin coolidge. he gave his wife a present, a bag of socks. 53 socks, darned the holes in them. that was the kind of imagination calvin cool lilk had. then you have george -- and in the poll, i have to say i don't think "newsweek" would mind this coming out, but i was told that among the worst presidents they chose the worst presidents. there were two. republicans. warren harding of the drunking

back and looked at 2004 for example when you had john kerry and george bush. in sort of late september bush was ahead of kerry by about seven points. after the first debate it was a two-point margin because john kerry did very well. then george w. bush came back and did better at the next debate. but he did narrow the gap after that first debate. and in a race that's as closes a this, wolf, that could make all the difference. >> very close in florida and virginia, for example and a debate tonight could impact the undecided voters. thanks, gloria. >> uh-huh. >>> you want to talk about the trial of the century, it could have happened if the raid in pakistan had unfolded differently. and a woman who came close to death in portland, maine's harbor can thank her lucky stars for some alert bystanders ready to help her. everyone has goals. take the steps to reach yours, with us with real advice, for real goals. the us bank wealth management advisor can help you. every step of the way. from big steps, to little steps. since 1863 we've helped guide our clients, so they can take the steps to hel

forward to 1982. george h.w. bush was on the ropes over bill clinton when casper weinberger was imply indicated in the iran/contra scandal shortly before election day. bad news for bush that he did not need. in 2004 a classic october surprise. osama bin laden released a video on october 29th just four days before election day in a raz orthin race between president bush and john kerry. three years after 9/11 it served as a reminder of the terrorist threat and strategists in both parties believed helped president bush. more recently the term october surprise has come to mean a seismic event in the fall of an election year though most have centered around foreign policy others have been about the economy like in 2008. when the economy imploded, john mccain's advisers say his campaign collapsed along with it and never recovered. historians say in order for an october surprise to have a real 11th hour impact it has to feed into a narrative that already exist, whether it's carter's ineffectiveness or questions about mccain's credentials on the economy. >> it's not so much that suddenly eure

to win. george w. bush, back in 2004, was at kind of 48% in october, but then by the time the election came around, he was, you know, at 52%, 53%. so he kind of passed that threshold. so it's very important because again, if people approve of you, they're going to give you the benefit of the doubt, even if they believe that things are not headed in the right direction yet. it means that they have a certain sense of optimism about what you can do for them in the future, and that's so important for president obama right now, because mitt romney is making the case that the president cannot fix the economy, that he's the only one who can do that and the public at least for now seems to be saying you know what, that may not be true. we're going to give him another shot at it. >> john, did all this stuff happen really in the wake of the convention? it seems like, maybe i'm wrong, but the convention kind of changed the narrative or the mood or something. did it? >> there's no question that the democrats, meaning the president, got much more out of his convention than governor romney and the r

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